Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Stimulating Thoughts: Part 2 - "Bipartisanship"

"Genuine bipartisanship assumes an honest process of give-and-take, and that the quality of the compromise is measured by how well it serves some agreed-upon goal, whether better schools or lower deficits. This in turn assumes that the majority will be constrained -- by an exacting press corps and ultimately an informed electorate -- to negotiate in good faith.

"If these conditions do not hold -- if nobody outside Washington is really paying attention to the substance of the bill, if the true costs . . . are buried in phony accounting and understated by a trillion dollars or so -- the majority party can begin every negotiation by asking for 100% of what it wants, go on to concede 10%, and then accuse any member of the minority party who fails to support this 'compromise' of being 'obstructionist.'

"For the minority party in such circumstances, 'bipartisanship' comes to mean getting chronically steamrolled, although individual senators may enjoy certain political rewards by consistently going along with the majority and hence gaining a reputation for being 'moderate' or 'centrist.'" [Emphasis added]

I found this interesting.

The excerpt above is from Barak Obama's 2006 book, "The Audacity of Hope".

Monday, February 16, 2009

2009 NBA Trade Value Rankings

The following is my personal version of Bill Simmons NBA Trade Value Rankings:

A quick recap of the rules:
1. Salaries matter. Over this season and the next two, would you rather pay David West $27 million or Amare Stoudemire $43 million?
2. Age matters. Would you rather have Chauncey Billups for the next five seasons or Rajon Rondo for the next 12?
3. Pretend the league passed the following rule: For 24 hours, any player can be traded without cap ramifications but with luxury-tax ramifications. So if Team A tells Team B, "We'll trade you Player X for Player Y," would Team B make the deal?
4. Concentrate on degrees. Neither San Antonio nor Orlando would make a Howard-Duncan trade, but the Spurs would at least say, "Wow, Dwight Howard's available?" and have a meeting about it while the Magic would say, "There's no frickin' way we're trading Dwight Howard." That counts in the big scheme of things.
5. The list runs in reverse order (Nos. 50 to 1). So if Carmelo comes in at No. 16, players 1 through 15 are all players about whom the Nuggets would probably say, "We hate giving up 'Melo, but we definitely have to consider this deal." And they wouldn't trade him straight-up for any player listed between Nos. 17 and 50.

The List:
50. Luis Scola, PF HOU
49. David Lee, PF NYK
48. Chauncey Billups, PG DEN
47. Hedo Turkoglu, F ORL
46. Russell Westbrook, G OKC
45. Kevin Love, PF MIN
44. Luol Deng, G/F CHI
43. Monta Ellis, G GSW
42. Paul Millsap, PF UTA
41. Michael Beasley, PF MIA
40. Jameer Nelson, PG ORL
39. Steve Nash, PG PHO
38. Brook Lopez, C NJ
37. Greg Oden, C POR
36. A. Biedrins, C GSW
35. Andrew Bynum, C LAL
34. Rudy Gay, SF MEM
33. Josh Smith, F ATL
32. Caron Butler, F WASH
31. OJ Mayo, SG MEM
30. Carlos Boozer, PF UTA (injuries only reason he is this low)
29. Devin Harris, PG NJ
28. Kevin Martin, SG SAC
27. Al Horford, F/C ATL
26. Lamarcus Aldridge, PF POR
25. Manu Ginobili, G/F SAS
24. David West, PF NOR
23. Rajon Rondo, PG BOS
22. Al Jefferson, F/C MIN
21. Kevin Garnett, PF BOS
20. Pau Gasol, F/C LAL
19. Tony Parker, PG SAS
18. Amare Stoudemire, PF PHO
17. Joe Johnson, SG ATL
16. Paul Pierce, G/F BOS
15. Danny Granger, SF IND
14. Dirk Nowitzki, PF DAL
13. Chris Bosh, PF TOR
12. Carmelo Anthony, SF DEN
11. Deron Williams, PG UTA
10. Derrick Rose, PG CHI
9. Brandon Roy, SG POR
8. Yao Ming, C HOU
7. Tim Duncan, PF SAS
6. Kevin Durant, SG OKC
5. Kobe Bryant, SG LAL
4. Dwayne Wade, SG MIA
3. Chris Paul, PG NOR
2. Dwight Howard, C ORL
1. LeBron James, SF CLE

Quick Update:

Falling off the list -
Yao (injuries)
Garnett (age)
Biedrins (he is not good at basketball
Billups (age)
Turkoglu (age, struggled in different systems)
Deng (contract vs. ability)
Oden (injuries)

Falling down the list -
B. Roy (durability)
Duncan (age)
C. Butler (age, other players risen above him)
Joe Johnson (contract)
Chris Bosh (contract)

Entering the list -
Roy Hibbert
John Wall
Tyreke Evans
Blake Griffin
Steph Curry
Eric Gordon
A. Bargnani

Shooting up the list -
Brook Lopez
Russell Westbrook
Rajon Rondo
Kevin Love

Executive Pay Politics

Executive Pay, particularly on Wall Street, is a hot button topic that easily gets the emotions going on Main Street. Considering the pay packages for Wall Street executives such as Dick Fuld of Lehman Brothers, (who earned on average in excess of $40 million a year over a six year period preceding his company’s collapse) much of this ire is well deserved. Few rational compensation experts would argue the compensation setting process is not broken and in dire need of correction.

Such a situation is ripe for political opportunists to gain favor with the public by speaking out against this evil. On February 4th, President Obama announced new pay restrictions on executives at banks that receive “exceptional assistance” from the government. (Days earlier it was reported Merrill Lynch had sped up bonus payments exceeding $3.6 billion just weeks after the firm received significant infusions of tax payer money). Under Obama's plan, companies that want to pay their executives more than $500,000 will have to do so through stocks that cannot be sold until the companies pay back the money they borrow from the government. However, within hours of the announcement, commentators pointed out clear loopholes and shortcomings in Obama’s pay restrictions that rendered the plan almost useless. (See “Loopholes Sap Potency of Pay Limits”).
Let there be no confusion here. Obama’s plan was not carelessly put together. It was not poor, hurried drafting that left these loopholes. Rather, the restrictions were carefully crafted to be more or less ineffective. It was essentially a political statement that the President is in touch with the people and that he also condemns the lavish Wall Street pay days. It was rhetoric to please the people while not really doing anything to alienate or upset Wall Street.

So it was not surprising that the Obama administration opposed the much more biting restrictions Senator Dodd included in the final version of the stimulus bill. (See Bankers Face Strict New Pay Cap). In contrast to Obama’s, these pay restrictions are effective retroactively and have the ability to apply to a substantial number of firms where Obama’s plan would have applied to exceedingly few if any.

In Obama’s defense Senator Dodd’s restrictions are misguided and overbearing. Not that the pay system at financial institutions as well as most other companies does not need fixing, but as the President knows, this is one of those things much easier said than done. A strict pay cap is perhaps one of the worst ways to correct the underlying problems that ultimately led pay practices to where they are today. The true solution lies in correcting the compensation setting process. That is in: increased director independence and accountability to shareholders, increased disclosure requirements that make it clear to the board, shareholders, and regulators precisely how much executives are being paid (as recently as 2005 less than 10% of companies used any form of tally sheet to sum up all of an executives compensation and those that have moved to a tally sheet have been surprised at just how much their executives actually make when including options, perks, deferred compensation and SERPs), and far less reliance on compensation surveys that are completely inflated by years of bad data.

The point is, as it always is, that the truth lies in the details and not in the rhetoric of politicians even that of the rock star President Obama (currently enjoying approval levels twice that of Congress). Like his pay restrictions, I fear his stimulus package promises far more than it will deliver, that its true impact today lies in the increased size and power of the federal government and that the most lasting economic impact it will have will not be felt even during his term in office, but will be a weight borne by this nation’s youth.

Stimulating Thoughts - Part 1 - "Not one of us have read this bill."

"1,073 Pages"

"The 1,073-page monstrosity includes the biggest spending increase since World War II, but more important is the fine print expanding the role of the federal government across the breadth of American business, health care, energy and welfare policy.
Given those stakes, you might think Congress would get more than a few hours to debate it. But, no, yesterday's roll call votes came less than 24 hours after House-Senate conferees had agreed to their deal. Democrats rushed the bill to the floor before Members could even read it, much less have time to broadcast the details so the public could offer its verdict."

rest of the article at:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123456958734386181.html

Comments to come later.