Colin Cowherd is awful again

Statement: "Bill Belichick is 8-0 after bye weeks"

Fact: This doesn't even pass the smell test because this is his 11th season as Patriots head coach thus his 11th game after a bye week. He lost after a bye week in 2000 and 2002. Therefore, he is 9-2 after bye weeks--still impressive, but not undefeated as Cowherd's words would suggest.

Statement: "Aaron Rogers is 7-13 in games decided by 7 points or less, but he is great in blowouts. He is not clutch."

Analysis: Let's think about the logic of this statement. Isn't it more likely the case that the games are close because his numbers are bad (in those games) than his numbers are bad because the games are close. Similarly, isnt it likely that the blowouts are blowouts because his numbers are good and not the other way around. That is, the game will usually be closer when the quarterback plays worse whereas if he has an awesome game chances are his team wins by more than 7 points.


Last week Cowherd takes full credit for seeing the Moss trade coming and spends 5 minutes replaying the soundbite and taking credit for it. On Friday Cowherd spent 5 minutes detailing how and why Nebraska is going to kill Texas and predicts a 41-17 beatdown. When recapping the weekends games, that game is not mentioned once.