Wednesday, June 30, 2010

I HATE HATE HATE Colin Cowherd

July 1st

"You are telling me I am supposed to believe the Knicks, the class dunce, is going to convince LeBron James to go their organization. I just don't see it happening."

June 30th

"Stop, LeBron is not going to New York. He's just not. They dont have enough talent. The city actually isn't that great to live in."

Cowherd talking about Lebron on May 14th:

"He's either going to New York or he is staying in Cleveland. He's not going to Miami or Chicago or New Jersey. You can send me your emails or pipe dream it all you want. He's going to be a Cav or he is going to be a Knick and you are crazy if you think otherwise."

Cowherd talking with Bill Simmons on May 17th when Simmons predicted LBJ would go to Chicago:

"AGHHH. You have to be kidding me. He is going to be a Knick. I don't by Chicago at all. If you are gonna go to Chicago go to New York its a bigger city."

Like many talking heads, every single thing that comes out of his mouth he says with 100% conviction as if there could not possibly be other reasonable arguments, alternatives or thoughts. And it is blind conviction with no concept of context or history.

His whole take on LeBron's future has been a complete 180 and yet every step of the way every comment he made was with complete conviction. The Knicks did not become the "class dunce" between May 14th and July 1st. They did not lose talent between May 14th and July 1st. The city didnt change between May 14th and July 1st.

On another note, I can't let Simmons, whom I love, off the hook either.

His free agency prediction has Bosh, LBJ, and Joe Johnson all going to the Bulls (Johnson via sign-and-trade for Deng). If it happens the Bulls will be really good, but I am just extremely skeptical that Jerry Reinsdorf will pay that team. Think about it:

In year 3:

James - 20 mil; Bosh - 20 mil; Johnson - 18 mil; Rose - 14 mil; Noah 11 mil; 1 1st rd. pick - 2 mil; 1 MLE guy - 6 mil; 6 minimum contract guys - 5 mil

Total = 96 million.

Lets generously assume the luxury tax line by then is up to 71 million (5 mil higher than next year). That means that Reinsdorf will have to pay $25 million in luxury tax bringing the total bill to $121 million.

To make it worth it financially, the Bulls would have to increase their revenues by more than 50%.

Oh and that is just year 3 (the first year of Rose's extension kicking in). In year 4 the total bill will go up to $137 million. In year 5 it will be $153 million and in year 6 it will be $171 million!!!

And all that is assuming just the 3 max guys plus Rose & Noah, 1 1st rd. pick and 1 MLE guy and 6 minimum contract guys for the whole time. If they had another 1st rd. pick or used the MLE in say year 3 it gets even crazier.

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